With the WSOP Main Event November Nine just around the corner, Bovada has posted its betting odds for the biggest poker event of the year. The Bovada rundown uses the size of each player’s starting stacks as a much bigger factor than the perceived skill differences between these players.
The site is offering bets both on which player will walk away with the $10 million first prize, as well as the nationality of the eventual winner.
Not surprisingly, chip leader Jorryt van Hoof has been installed as the early favorite to take down the 2014 World Championship. The Dutch player has over 38 million in chips, as is being listed as a 57/20 (or slightly below 3/1) favorite by Bovada.
While Van Hoof has little previous WSOP experience, he had won over $350,000 in his live tournament career before making his amazing Main Event run.
The second choice in betting is Felix Stephensen, who is also second in chips with just under 33 million. Listed at 4/1, Stephensen is a 23-year-old Norwegian who now lives in England. Before making his appearance at this final table, Stephensen had never cashed in a WSOP tournament, and had only about $22,000 in career tournament earnings, but this doesn’t seem to have played much of a factor in setting his odds.
Newhouse Makes Back-to-Back Final Tables
Mark Newhouse could potentially be the player who attracts the most interest from bettors at this year’s final table. With 26 million in chips, Newhouse is both in third place in the chip count and is the third choice in betting at 5/1. However, it could be argued that he has the strongest pedigree in this event, as he also made the final table of the WSOP Main Event last year. This makes him the first person to pull off back-to-back final tables since Dan Harrington in 2003 and 2004. He has won over $2.7 million in live tournament play during his career.
Spaniard Andoni Larrabe (22,550,000 chips) and American Dan Sindelar (21.2 million chips) also seem to be regarded as having a chance to win that corresponds with their chip stacks, with odds of 7/1 and 15/2 respectively.
Jacobson Given Credit for Successful Career
In fact, there is only one player in the tournament who has risen above players with more chips in terms of his odds to win the event. That honor belongs to Martin Jacobson, who is regarded as the most accomplished player in the November Nine. The Swedish pro has over $4.8 million in career earnings, though he has never before cashed in the Main Event. Jacobson is eighth in chips with 14.9 million, but is sixth in the betting odds, being offered at 8/1.
The other short-stacked players are given longer odds of rallying to win the tournament. Billy Pappaconstantinou, a champion foosball player, has 17.5 million chips and is listed at 10/1. William Tonking has just over 15 million chips and can be backed at 12/1, while short stack Bruno Politano (12,125,000 chips) is offered at 16/1.
Bovada is also offering bets on the nationality of the eventual winner. Bettors can back all four American players (Pappaconstantinou, Newhouse, Tonkin and Sindelar) at 3/2 odds, or take the remaining international contingent to win at 1/2.